Sunday, April 13, 2014

Political Reforms: Will the Change Be Substantial?

2010 marked the beginnings of a transformation through the Middle East. Revolutionaries stormed the streets in search for change; a change that called for a new regime and polices that would benefit their countries. The only way to accomplish this was to take down the people who had been making change difficult in their country: Zine El Abidine Ben Ali (Tunisia, 23 years), Hosni Mubarak (Egypt, 30 years), and Ali Abdulla Saleh (Yemen, 33 years). “The unethical behaviors for some of the Arab leaders were the main reason behind the Arab spring” (Elkatawneh). Passion to take back their countries led to the taking down the tyrannical rulers through protest, through their revolution. Following the Arab Spring the new regimes began looking for ways to please rebels, by creating political reforms in Tunisia, Egypt, and Yemen.


The regimes in place after the Arab Spring seemed to be a beacon of light after all the chaos. In Tunisia an educated interim president was elected by the Constituent Assembly, Moncef Marzouki. In Egypt, Mohammad Morsi, from the Muslim Brotherhood, took his place and began appointing people as he saw fit. In Yemen, the vice president ascended to his seat as the President, this worried people since he was already part of the old regime. In reality Have the people gotten what they wanted?



One important outcome that came of the Uprisings was national dialogues. All three countries, Tunisia, Egypt, and Yemen held national dialogues in hopes to bring about change when it dealt to the nations’ respective constitutions and political rule changes. Discussion involved the economy, “issues regarding the priority of the presidential elections and the electoral system” (Muhammad Taha), Shariah law, and other matters. While new constitutions have been adopted in Tunisia (Jan 26 2014) and Egypt (January 2014), Yemen is still finding ways to come to a consensus, through the national dialogue, regarding its new constitution. While changes are beginning to take place the countries are still having struggles.

Tunisia, in its current state, is dealing with troubles involving its economy. The “economy is at a critical juncture as it tries to rebuild confidence and attract investment -- both foreign and domestic” (Tunisia). The reason for this economic unrest is the lack of political clarity which leads to investors and consumers to think twice on how they are investing their money. Assassinations of political leaders have caused a standstill for progress since investors are weary of partaking in Tunisia. Like many countries in the Middle East Tunisia depends on foreign aid. In Tunisia, “the trade deficit widened by 3.3% in the first eight months of 2013; the deficit has made the currency in Tunisia, the dinar decrease in value. This has also affected employment. While the economy is down it is said to increase thanks to Tourism. Overall, it is important for the government to get their act together in order to have a sustainable country, which doesn’t rely solely on its own resources but it is still fair.



In Egypt, the search for investors is also at large. “In his first address as prime minister, Ibrahim Mehleb yesterday said that he would seek "rapid solutions" to rehabilitate the economy through pro-investment policies and creating jobs for young Egyptians” (Egypt). Since the removal of Morsi in July, two large government stimulus packages have provided relief to Egyptian markets and raised hopes that stagnant economic growth could increase. The promise to bring about more jobs and a more stable economy could cause problems in the coming months. If anyone is unhappy in Egypt the people will most definitely go to the streets. The instability of Egypt's structure is causing problems in the advancement of what the people want. Some of the major structure challenges include unemployment, inflation, fiscal policies, and the private sector where not much investment exists. With the upcoming election, which Sissi is said to win, investors might be drawn due to Sissi’s strong personality and wide backing.


In Yemen, the people haven't been as lucky as with other areas, the national dialogue has come to a consensus but this “prolonged process of political transition has been playing with Yemenis’ hopes of an economic revival and improved living standards” (Yemen). There are many problems currently in Yemen from the North vs. South disputes to the depletion of oil within the next two years to the water scarcity. The economy in Yemen is among the worst in the world with “some 42% of Yemenis living below the poverty line and not having enough to eat” (Yemen). Not only do the Yemenis have to find a way to better the conditions to their people but they are also getting a lot of pressure for the IMF. Even though things seem bleak for Yemen talks of new explorations for oil have been talked about and investors are lined up but need a stable government, transparency, the rule of law, and access to finance in order to proceed, all which are absent and could take up to a decade to obtain. Because the National dialogue has not yet come to and end the future of Yemen is up in the Air.



            The outcomes of Tunisia and Egypt seem to have solutions that are obtainable and the reforms in place seem to be looking out for the people. In Yemen, the citizens aren't as lucky, with the National Dialogue coming up hopefully the views of the people will show in the decisions being as Yemen is such a divided country. As countries move on from the vicious uprising a new hope for a more free and stable Middle East seems to arise, a sense of Arab-ism has been form and people couldn't be prouder of what they have accomplished.








Works Cited
"An Arab Spring Success Story: Tunisia's New Constitution." Fortune Management Career Blog RSS. N.p., n.d. Web. Apr. 2014.

EGYPT: Economic Reform Unlikely before Late-2013. Oxford: Oxford Analytica Ltd, 2013. ProQuest. Web.

 Elkatawneh, Hassan H., Ethics and Arab Spring (January 31, 2013). 

Muhammad Taha, Rana. "Mansour Holds First National Dialogue on Roadmap." Daily News Egypt RSS. N.p., n.d. Web. Apr. 2014.

TUNISIA: Political Progress Will Kick-Start Recovery. Oxford: Oxford Analytica Ltd, 2013. ProQuest. Web.

YEMEN: Economic Recovery Awaits Political Reforms. Oxford: Oxford Analytica Ltd, 2013. ProQuest. Web.

No comments:

Post a Comment